Israel and the Arab riots
The existence of a Palestinian state would help defuse the current Hamas. This move would have to retrain in a moderate Islam to the Turkish or Egyptian, line with the wave of democratization Arab
ADOLFO GARCÍA ORTEGA
A light board always unpredictable Middle East, it seems logical that what is truly good for Israel is the creation of a Palestinian state. There are voices who believe that, given the other problems that are on the horizon for Israel (economy, anxiety about the future, rising illegal immigration, blindness of religious groups, settlements), the creation of that state would be a way solutions.
The current government of Israel seems neither clairvoyant nor capable, and the opposition is
no Arab revolts weakened the position of Iran and Turkey strengthened
But the creation of a Palestinian state is essential to change the key relationship in the eternal peace process: the pulse with Hamas. It seems that both Hamas and Israel need each other on everything, but for evil, to maintain the status quo of each paper in its unchanging, since both are justified either in a stalemate. Proof of this is that before the Arab riots and the diversion of focus to them, Hamas increased rocket fire, in order to get back to the first current level through the provocation, and Israel has responded as usual, also to influence Hamas is the main threat, and incidentally also the biggest excuse. It seems evident that the change in this equation is the basis perverse construction of the future. Hamas and Israel are required even to end their mutual confrontation.
The Arab riots, all different, they smell a little precipitation and haste. But then history gives Hamas an invaluable opportunity to demonstrate its real role in the politics of their future state. Could now demonstrate not only a will to solve the conflict with Israel from a political position, but a willingness to solve internal problems between the Palestinian factions, with an eye in coexistence. Hamas Ready to make that state policy? Is it something more than a puppet movement or a band of terrorists who oppresses his people, and insists on proclaiming to the world opinion? Will be demonstrated. The founding of the state would help a lot to it, no doubt.
On the other hand, more and more people in Israel are willing to own these "painful concessions" which for years was being announced. A large percentage of Israelis who would revise the boundaries of 67, would share the capital of Jerusalem and the East would completely to the Palestinians. And they create a great and prosperous city further west. Would be willing to negotiation stages, without having to negotiate all at once, thereby blocking. A Palestinian state, as happened with Israel in his day, would open up an agenda of priorities and gradual and verifiable actions totally different. And in that context, the political vision would defer without trauma issues as cocapitalidad and settlements. There are priorities, but elements of negotiation on the basis of two states. The Israelis and Palestinians know it, the problem is that they also know that the first step is a matter of faith.
The existence of a Palestinian state would help defuse the current Hamas and put it in front of his historical responsibility. That would be the real priority. Then he would set, in stages, other objects. The reality of the riots seems to be marking this new order of priorities. If Syria is democratized, this is good for Israel. As will be good for Israel's democracy in Egypt. Whenever a true democracy. And the guarantee that can be precisely Turkey, which has found a way to make Islam coexisted with real democracy. A Syria without Iran, and now not to support Hezbollah and Hamas, the radical force lowering of both terrorist movements. Neither Egypt nor Turkey, in the medium term, allow Hamas, in circumstances democratic, is a threat to Israel.
But how Turkey or Egypt can influence, directly or indirectly, in Hamas? Has already been said over and over again that Turkey's role has grown to be a model for the region, when secure future and welfare within a framework of respect for Islam. It's what people want and what they have gone to the revolt.
in Egypt has yet to see what in store for its new constitution and elections which created map. An election that probably will not win even the Muslim Brotherhood because they do not agree much significance in the first period, but it is clear that they reserve a starring role for the near future. As for Syria, it has the conflict with Israel, off, the Golan Heights, something that Israel would be willing to concede. If Syria does come out well from which everything seems to announce a very hard transition to democracy would cease to be a transmission belt of Iran. In turn, Iran after the Arab riots, has been weakened in the short term because he has betrayed the fragility of its internal stability, his bold foreign policy, and above its nuclear trump card has been decaffeinated after Fukushima . Has lost prestige and alibis are gone. We will see the last revolt in Iran, where he was the first.
Hamas, therefore, must assume their responsibility for the future, which is nothing to approach the Egyptian model, in turn reflecting the Turkish model inevitable. But it is still far away, because that happens before the dispute, through elections or through merger agreement with Fatah. I facilitate a Palestinian state. Because even would have the explicit support of those now treat it as a terrorist group. Kosovo is an example and there are others. More than ever, Hamas is the key. Is this a strategy to support policy and democratic Palestinian State?
Hamas may be tempted to continue to demonstrate the strength of intransigence, but that goes against current democratization of the Arab street. See the demonstrations in Gaza, not widely distributed, or the West Bank, where, lest we forget, Hamas also be submitted to the elections when you play. But Hamas knows that its survival in a Palestinian state requires a commitment to moderation. Future Islamist parties in Turkey, Egypt, Tunisia, will take them to the ground. Would not suit the bad image that Hamas could give to his promises of democratic pluralism. How could they, if not, the Muslim Brotherhood argued that you can count on them without being a threat to the hopes of the population, with its riots, was allowed to wash its political face and encourage their redemption even for the West? Therefore, there is the radical route is best for Hamas. Moreover, Palestinian society knows that not all problems stem from the "yoke" of Israel. The economic misery and strangled in the Palestinian territories also have something to do with Hamas, and corruption, and for the inability, or by blindness.
And Israel? It will move when you perceive clear indications of change in Hamas. First, recognize Israel's existence, the second national policy be an option in a Palestinian state. Israel's internal problems would become a close and that would allow changes in its political development, no excuses now paranoid about security. But the truth is that the current government does not seem very visionary and very capable, the opposition is not very active and void, because it is aware that if you win you need the support of many who are now ruling. And we must add the illegal immigration and the problems of ownership of the diversity in the context of Jewish identity against ultra-conservative minority, who have too much political clout and no vision. Historic opportunity to Hamas, then, is clear: it could change everything if you change enough of them.
Adolfo García Ortega is a writer and editor.
The existence of a Palestinian state would help defuse the current Hamas. This move would have to retrain in a moderate Islam to the Turkish or Egyptian, line with the wave of democratization Arab
ADOLFO GARCÍA ORTEGA
A light board always unpredictable Middle East, it seems logical that what is truly good for Israel is the creation of a Palestinian state. There are voices who believe that, given the other problems that are on the horizon for Israel (economy, anxiety about the future, rising illegal immigration, blindness of religious groups, settlements), the creation of that state would be a way solutions.
The current government of Israel seems neither clairvoyant nor capable, and the opposition is
no Arab revolts weakened the position of Iran and Turkey strengthened
But the creation of a Palestinian state is essential to change the key relationship in the eternal peace process: the pulse with Hamas. It seems that both Hamas and Israel need each other on everything, but for evil, to maintain the status quo of each paper in its unchanging, since both are justified either in a stalemate. Proof of this is that before the Arab riots and the diversion of focus to them, Hamas increased rocket fire, in order to get back to the first current level through the provocation, and Israel has responded as usual, also to influence Hamas is the main threat, and incidentally also the biggest excuse. It seems evident that the change in this equation is the basis perverse construction of the future. Hamas and Israel are required even to end their mutual confrontation.
The Arab riots, all different, they smell a little precipitation and haste. But then history gives Hamas an invaluable opportunity to demonstrate its real role in the politics of their future state. Could now demonstrate not only a will to solve the conflict with Israel from a political position, but a willingness to solve internal problems between the Palestinian factions, with an eye in coexistence. Hamas Ready to make that state policy? Is it something more than a puppet movement or a band of terrorists who oppresses his people, and insists on proclaiming to the world opinion? Will be demonstrated. The founding of the state would help a lot to it, no doubt.
On the other hand, more and more people in Israel are willing to own these "painful concessions" which for years was being announced. A large percentage of Israelis who would revise the boundaries of 67, would share the capital of Jerusalem and the East would completely to the Palestinians. And they create a great and prosperous city further west. Would be willing to negotiation stages, without having to negotiate all at once, thereby blocking. A Palestinian state, as happened with Israel in his day, would open up an agenda of priorities and gradual and verifiable actions totally different. And in that context, the political vision would defer without trauma issues as cocapitalidad and settlements. There are priorities, but elements of negotiation on the basis of two states. The Israelis and Palestinians know it, the problem is that they also know that the first step is a matter of faith.
The existence of a Palestinian state would help defuse the current Hamas and put it in front of his historical responsibility. That would be the real priority. Then he would set, in stages, other objects. The reality of the riots seems to be marking this new order of priorities. If Syria is democratized, this is good for Israel. As will be good for Israel's democracy in Egypt. Whenever a true democracy. And the guarantee that can be precisely Turkey, which has found a way to make Islam coexisted with real democracy. A Syria without Iran, and now not to support Hezbollah and Hamas, the radical force lowering of both terrorist movements. Neither Egypt nor Turkey, in the medium term, allow Hamas, in circumstances democratic, is a threat to Israel.
But how Turkey or Egypt can influence, directly or indirectly, in Hamas? Has already been said over and over again that Turkey's role has grown to be a model for the region, when secure future and welfare within a framework of respect for Islam. It's what people want and what they have gone to the revolt.
in Egypt has yet to see what in store for its new constitution and elections which created map. An election that probably will not win even the Muslim Brotherhood because they do not agree much significance in the first period, but it is clear that they reserve a starring role for the near future. As for Syria, it has the conflict with Israel, off, the Golan Heights, something that Israel would be willing to concede. If Syria does come out well from which everything seems to announce a very hard transition to democracy would cease to be a transmission belt of Iran. In turn, Iran after the Arab riots, has been weakened in the short term because he has betrayed the fragility of its internal stability, his bold foreign policy, and above its nuclear trump card has been decaffeinated after Fukushima . Has lost prestige and alibis are gone. We will see the last revolt in Iran, where he was the first.
Hamas, therefore, must assume their responsibility for the future, which is nothing to approach the Egyptian model, in turn reflecting the Turkish model inevitable. But it is still far away, because that happens before the dispute, through elections or through merger agreement with Fatah. I facilitate a Palestinian state. Because even would have the explicit support of those now treat it as a terrorist group. Kosovo is an example and there are others. More than ever, Hamas is the key. Is this a strategy to support policy and democratic Palestinian State?
Hamas may be tempted to continue to demonstrate the strength of intransigence, but that goes against current democratization of the Arab street. See the demonstrations in Gaza, not widely distributed, or the West Bank, where, lest we forget, Hamas also be submitted to the elections when you play. But Hamas knows that its survival in a Palestinian state requires a commitment to moderation. Future Islamist parties in Turkey, Egypt, Tunisia, will take them to the ground. Would not suit the bad image that Hamas could give to his promises of democratic pluralism. How could they, if not, the Muslim Brotherhood argued that you can count on them without being a threat to the hopes of the population, with its riots, was allowed to wash its political face and encourage their redemption even for the West? Therefore, there is the radical route is best for Hamas. Moreover, Palestinian society knows that not all problems stem from the "yoke" of Israel. The economic misery and strangled in the Palestinian territories also have something to do with Hamas, and corruption, and for the inability, or by blindness.
And Israel? It will move when you perceive clear indications of change in Hamas. First, recognize Israel's existence, the second national policy be an option in a Palestinian state. Israel's internal problems would become a close and that would allow changes in its political development, no excuses now paranoid about security. But the truth is that the current government does not seem very visionary and very capable, the opposition is not very active and void, because it is aware that if you win you need the support of many who are now ruling. And we must add the illegal immigration and the problems of ownership of the diversity in the context of Jewish identity against ultra-conservative minority, who have too much political clout and no vision. Historic opportunity to Hamas, then, is clear: it could change everything if you change enough of them.
Adolfo García Ortega is a writer and editor.
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